Looking Ahead to 2026 Housing Market Outlook

I hope you’re enjoying the holiday season and finding a little time to slow down and recharge.

As things quiet down toward the end of the year, I wanted to share a quick note after reviewing Compass’s 2026 housing market forecast, especially since many people start thinking about their next move around this time.

After a few pretty wild years, the Florida market is finally starting to feel more balanced.

Here’s the simple version.

We should see more homes on the market in 2026, but not in a scary way. Buyers will have more choices, and sellers will need to be a bit more thoughtful with pricing and presentation.

Prices are expected to mostly level off. That doesn’t mean values are dropping across the board. It just means we’re moving away from the days when everything sold immediately and well over asking.

Compass also expects more homes to actually sell next year. With more inventory and more realistic pricing, buyers who have been waiting are starting to step back in.

Mortgage rates will likely stay in the low 6% range. If we get a little luck, we could see short dips into the high 5% range, which often helps kick off a strong spring market.

One part of the forecast we really like is affordability. For the first time in years, incomes are expected to grow faster than home prices. It’s not dramatic, but it’s a healthy shift and a good sign for the market overall.

If you’re thinking about selling in 2026, the key takeaway is that the right plan matters more than perfect timing. Like we always said - homes that are priced well and prepared properly are selling. Others are waiting.

If you’re thinking about buying, you may finally have a bit more breathing room and more options than we’ve seen in a while.

If you’d like to dig a bit deeper, you can view the full 2026 Housing Outlook Market report in the link below. It’s a helpful snapshot of where things stand as we head into the new year.

Wishing you a happy, healthy holiday season and a great start to the new year. And if a move is on your mind for 2026, I am always happy to talk it through.